Sunday, May 14, 2006
Not beaten yet
While I'll admit that election night wasn't much fun - Ponds Forge sports hall was full of Labour activists boistrously cheering every result, including the narrow defeat of Mohammad Azim by the Greens - a detailed analysis of the results gives us more cause for cheer than the headlines suggest.
This is the good news for Lib Dems in Sheffield:
We were defending 8 out of 10 of the most marginal seats in Sheffield
Obviously it would have been nice to take one of the two rather than lose any of the eight, but in the event we'll have to settle for what we've got. Defending Dore and Totley (by 1,100 votes!) and Walkley were pleasing results, particularly given the disaster that the other parties were predicting for us in those wards. As these are split wards, we have a chance of a gain in each of them in 2007.
Sheffield Central - the only seat to change hands in the event - was an odd result. Because of the three-way split of the seat in the 2004 election - and the poor showings of our other candidates - we were placed in the peculiar (but unenviable) position of having lost the seat despite our vote going up by nearly 4 percentage points. For reference, Labour's vote went down 1 point, and the Greens' went up 1 - enough to take the seat. Continuing this trend next year would put us in 1st place, the Greens in 2nd, and Labour in 3rd.
In the two vulnerable seats that Labour were defending, their majority was more than halved.
Our vote has increased across the city
More people voted for the Lib Dems than any other party in Sheffield on May 4th. Labour are now in second place - it is only a matter of time before this is reflected in the number of seats held.
Other parties are vulnerable next year
This is how hard a fight that Labour, the Greens and the Tories will have on their hands next year:
We won't be idle in the next year. Cllr Paul Scriven will be leading a detailed policy review to ensure that we keep in touch with the views of all Sheffield people - I doubt very much that Labour will be doing the same. Labour have been in back in control of the council for 3 years now, and we're starting to see the same old arrogance and swagger, particularly in the way they treat the other parties.
People in Sheffield are fed up of the "old model" of politicians sniping at each other across the Council chamber - we will change this and run a positive, issue-orientated campaign in 2007.
I'm personally convinced that Sheffield is changing into a vibrant, modern city that needs modern politicians, and that the last three years are a blip in the fortunes of a Labour party that's been on its way out for decades.
We'll see whether they're still cheering this time next year!
This is the good news for Lib Dems in Sheffield:
We were defending 8 out of 10 of the most marginal seats in Sheffield
Obviously it would have been nice to take one of the two rather than lose any of the eight, but in the event we'll have to settle for what we've got. Defending Dore and Totley (by 1,100 votes!) and Walkley were pleasing results, particularly given the disaster that the other parties were predicting for us in those wards. As these are split wards, we have a chance of a gain in each of them in 2007.
Sheffield Central - the only seat to change hands in the event - was an odd result. Because of the three-way split of the seat in the 2004 election - and the poor showings of our other candidates - we were placed in the peculiar (but unenviable) position of having lost the seat despite our vote going up by nearly 4 percentage points. For reference, Labour's vote went down 1 point, and the Greens' went up 1 - enough to take the seat. Continuing this trend next year would put us in 1st place, the Greens in 2nd, and Labour in 3rd.
In the two vulnerable seats that Labour were defending, their majority was more than halved.
Our vote has increased across the city
More people voted for the Lib Dems than any other party in Sheffield on May 4th. Labour are now in second place - it is only a matter of time before this is reflected in the number of seats held.
Other parties are vulnerable next year
This is how hard a fight that Labour, the Greens and the Tories will have on their hands next year:
- Two of the wards that we won this time will be defended by other parties in 2007 - none of ours will be.
- It would take only a 2.5% swing for Labour to lose three seats (and control of the council).
- The five most vulnerable wards in 2007 are all held by other parties.
We won't be idle in the next year. Cllr Paul Scriven will be leading a detailed policy review to ensure that we keep in touch with the views of all Sheffield people - I doubt very much that Labour will be doing the same. Labour have been in back in control of the council for 3 years now, and we're starting to see the same old arrogance and swagger, particularly in the way they treat the other parties.
People in Sheffield are fed up of the "old model" of politicians sniping at each other across the Council chamber - we will change this and run a positive, issue-orientated campaign in 2007.
I'm personally convinced that Sheffield is changing into a vibrant, modern city that needs modern politicians, and that the last three years are a blip in the fortunes of a Labour party that's been on its way out for decades.
We'll see whether they're still cheering this time next year!
Friday, May 05, 2006
Results
We didn't take control of the council, in the end Labour's vote held up and the anticipated Tory revival didn't materialize. With hindsight we could have targetted differently. Labour only won in half of the wards, and next year they will be defending more marginal seats, so they need to do better to hang on.
Anyway a phenomenal result in Dore and Totley:
Dore & Totley
Anyway a phenomenal result in Dore and Totley:
Dore & Totley
Name: BIRAM Dawn
Party: Green Party
Votes:274
Name: CHAPMAN Janet
Party: The Conservative Party Candidate
Votes:2623
Name: HILL Keith Leonard
Party: Liberal Democrat
Votes:3770
Name: HUSSAIN Mohammad Altaf
Party: The Labour Party Candidate
Votes:300
Name: LAURIE James Douglas
Party: U.K.Independence Party
Votes:172
Turnout:54%
An unfortunate loss in Central. But the Greens worked hard in the ward. Working hard to win is a poor man's PR. Parties win seats in proportion to the work they are prepared to do.
Central
Name: AZIM Mohammad
Party: Liberal Democrat
Votes:1036
Name: BRYAN Nicholas Christopher James
Party: The Conservative Party Candidate
Votes:239
Name: LITTLE Bernard James
Party: Green Party
Votes:1159
Name: MAROOF Mohammad
Party: The Labour Party Candidate
Votes:1117
Turnout:31%
Worryingly high votes for the BNP in one or two places. Mostly thanks to Margaret Hodge cynically talking them up in order to frighten Labour's disaffected core support into turning out. But no councillors this time.
But the government needs to start taking seriously disaffection in deprived areas - not just those that have elected BNP councillors, as some kind of perverse reward for peeing in the tent.
And the solutions need to be provided in a way that unite communities, rather than dividing across racial or religious lines.
Tuesday, May 02, 2006
On the air
Radio 4's The World Tonight have just run a piece on the election in Sheffield - these are the highlights:
- There was a lengthy interview with Paul Scriven, who explained that Labour's core vote was "beginning to crumble"
- Labour put up their local party chair Paul Blomfield who admitted that the national picture was making life hard for them
- In Anne Smith's piece, we discovered that it was the first time she'd ever been on a tram
- The Greens' party headquarters is a shop called Airy Fairy (which really doesn't need any spin from me!)
Local kitchens for local people
We wish that all Labour leaflets used Sheffieldish as well as this one does.
More power to them, I say.
(Don't they know it's spelt "reight", though?)
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The opinions expressed herein are those of the author and may not represent those of blogger.com or the Sheffield Liberal Democrat Group.